Aslan Karatsev vs Lorenzo Giustino Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

Analyzing the recent performance, Karatsev has demonstrated superior effectiveness on his second serve, claiming 48.5% of points, compared to Giustino's 42.2%. This differential in second serve proficiency could be crucial for match predictions because of its strong correlation with match outcomes. Exploring return stats further, Karatsev has excelled in winning 44.04% of points on his opponent's second serve, whereas Giustino edges ahead with 49.32%, an important indicator in head-to-head confrontations.

In terms of first serve returns, Giustino again outpaces Karatsev, securing 28.87% of points versus Karatsev's 23.37%. Such statistics, correlated with matchup predictions, reveal slight leanings towards favoring Giustino. The pressure-handling capabilities of both players are similar, with Karatsev saving 54.79% of breakpoints and Giustino closely trailing at 53.52%. This data suggests both players maintain composure under pressure, which can influence in-game betting strategies.

Examining their respective career surfaces, Karatsev shows his best performance on hard courts, boasting a 63% win rate, whereas Giustino's forte lies on clay with a 55% win record. Both players share a weakness on grass surfaces. The significance of these statistics varies based on the tournament's playing surface and can shape expectations accordingly. Looking at their competitive levels, in the past year, Karatsev frequently competed in Challengers/ITF tournaments, securing a 65% win percentage, while Giustino predominantly participated in Futures/Satellites tournaments, achieving a 69.09% win rate.

In their personal showdowns, Karatsev leads with a lone victory in their only face-off in the 2019 Sopot Challenger. This history, combined with an average match duration of over two hours, paints a vivid scenario where Karatsev can be seen as a slight favorite, especially since Giustino has not claimed a single set or tiebreak in their encounters. Assessing deciding set performances, Giustino excels with a 68% win rate, outpacing Karatsev's 36% over recent months, suggesting a potential advantage if the match reaches a conclusive third set.

Lastly, their contest has the potential for high drama given their previous encounters and specific stats. Considering the average quality of opponents faced, Karatsev has faced tougher competition, averaging an opponent ranking of 181.67, compared to Giustino's 399.1-ranked adversaries. Given these variables and head-to-head data, Karatsev appears slightly favored to secure a victory in their imminent clash.